August 16, 2025

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Katie Stockton’s Latest Market Outlook: What Investors Should Know

Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies and a leading figure in technical analysis, is known for her precise, chart-driven approach to navigating the markets. Her insights regularly influence institutional strategy—but they’re just as useful for individual investors who want to make smarter decisions.

So, what does she see coming next?


Who Is Katie Stockton?

Before diving into her latest projections, a quick recap:

  • Stockton is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT).
  • She leads Fairlead Strategies, a research firm focused on technical market analysis.
  • She’s a frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Yahoo Finance.
  • Her work relies on data—not headlines—using tools like moving averages, RSI, and MACD.

Current Market Outlook (Q2 2025)

Based on her latest analysis, here are the key takeaways from Katie Stockton’s view of the current market:


🔹 1. Short-Term Caution, Long-Term Support Still Intact

  • Stockton sees overbought conditions in major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100.
  • However, the longer-term trend remains intact—no major breakdown has occurred yet.

“We’re seeing resistance near recent highs, but no major breakdowns yet. Investors should respect the uptrend but prepare for some volatility.”


🔹 2. Support and Resistance Levels to Watch

She has pinpointed specific price zones:

  • S&P 500: Resistance at 5,300, Support around 5,100
  • QQQ: Resistance near $460, Support around $440

These levels are where large funds often shift positions—so they can serve as signals for individual investors too.

🔹 3. Momentum Shifting into Tech and Industrials

Stockton’s models show continued strength in:

  • Technology (especially semiconductors)
  • Industrials

Meanwhile, utilities and energy appear technically weak.

Her ETF watchlist: XLK (tech) and XLI (industrials) for momentum; avoid defensive sectors unless market conditions worsen.


🔹 4. Breadth Weakness Is a Warning Sign

Despite new highs in the S&P and Nasdaq, only a small portion of stocks are participating in the rally. This narrow breadth suggests fragility and can be a signal of potential pullbacks ahead.


What Should You Do With This Information?

Stockton doesn’t give buy/sell stock tips—but she provides a roadmap. Here’s how to apply her current insights:

Market ConditionWhat to Do
Market nearing resistanceAvoid chasing; consider trimming exposure
Pullback to support in an uptrendLook to add positions or scale in
Weakening breadth + overbought signalsTighten stops or reduce leverage
Sector rotation into tech/industrialsTilt portfolio toward strength

Final Thoughts

Katie Stockton’s technical perspective offers a rational framework for navigating an often emotional market. Her message for now?

Stay constructive, but cautious.

Don’t be spooked by short-term noise—but don’t ignore signals like resistance, weakening breadth, or momentum shifts either.

If you’re serious about long-term investing with technical awareness, tracking experts like Stockton is one of the smartest habits you can build.


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